Team

The EWI analysis shows that Germany could significantly miss the 65 percent target for the share of renewable energies in gross electricity demand. A team from EWI calculated that gross electricity consumption could rise to 685 terawatt hours per year by 2030. At the same time, the assumption from the Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG 2021) for electricity generation from renewables of 377 TWh per year was adopted. The share of renewable energies would thus be only 55 percent instead of the targeted 65 percent.

The EWI analysis shows that Germany could significantly miss the 65 percent target for the share of renewable energies in electricity demand. An EWI team has calculated that gross electricity consumption could rise to 748 terawatt hours (TWh) per year by 2030. At the same time, electricity generation from renewables would rise to 345 TWh per year. The share of renewable energies would thus be only 46 percent instead of the targeted 65 percent. Depending on the assumptions regarding the evolution of electricity demand and the expansion of renewable energies, a range of 39 % to 67 % results.

The calculations of the EWI on the burden and relief of households through the “Klimaschutzprogramm 2030” show the effects of the CO2 price, the commuter allowance, and the EEG compensation. For example, a 3-person family with one commuter in an unrenovated single-family-house with an old oil heating system will have additional costs of 201 euros in 2025. In contrast, a high-income family with two commuters in a partially renovated single-family house will have higher costs of 108 euros in 2025 due to the climate protection programme. For a couple in an unrenovated apartment with a gas heating system without commuters, the effects of CO2 pricing and EEG compensation almost cancel each other out.